Dec 22, 2020
In this episode, at the end of a tumultuous and unpredictable
year, we attempt (wisely or not!) to give some predictions for what
2021 might bring...
- ECONOMIC DOWNTURN
- Impact of Pandemic & Brexit: more demand, charity finances
hit, less giving?
- Charity closures/mergers?
- Reimagining resilience?
- Political Division
- Ongoing division
- Ongoing politicisation of charity/culture wars
- Closing space for civil society
- Foreign funding restrictions
- Will the pandemic make us think for locally, nationally or
- Will we see more moves towards devolution?
- The Post-Pandemic workplace
- How will changes made through necessity during the pandemic
affecting the charity workplace longer term?
- Will we see more orgs thinking through the optimum balance
offline and online for their work as we become more aware of the
strengths and weaknesses of both (e.g. efficiency and ability to
reach wider geographic area vs value of offline serendipity, human
- Will there continue to be more adoption of remote/mixed
working? Will we see orgs change how they think about the purpose
of the office? Will this begin a geographic rebalancing of the
charity sector workforce?
- The Expanding landscape for doing good
- Further expansion of space for “doing good” as we see more
networked movements, informal P2P giving, mutual aid groups,
corporates with purpose etc.
- What is the USP of charities in this context?
- Rebalancing of corporate/charity relationships as companies lay
claim to purpose?
- Continuing rise of networked movements
- Continuing interest in Mutual Aid?
- The participation premium- what can charities learn?
- Cross cutting issues
- Will the focus on racial justice/equality decline across wider
society as we move further away from this year’s momentum around
- Can civil society take a lead in maintaining that
- Will we see the focus on climate renewed?
- Will these issues increasingly be seen not as “cause areas”,
but as cross-cutting concerns that all CSOs need to take into
- What does this mean in practice- e.g. re investment approaches,
leadership in civil society, composition of the non-profit
- Post-pandemic Philanthropic funding
- Unrestricted/core cost/trust based grantmaking. Will the trend
- More collaboration
- Push for centralisation
- Continuing pushback on impact measurement
- More participatory approaches
- New areas of funding focus:
- social movements
- Philanthropy Under Fire
- Tainted donations (expect more examples)
- Anti-democratic nature of big philanthropy
- Philanthropy part of the problem re inequality
- New critiques: Pace, perpetuity (e.g. US DAF legislation)
- Philanthropy & conspiracy theories
- Mass Giving
- What is happening to giving? Long term decline or not? Giving
pulled forward in response to the pandemic, or increased
- Will we see more big philanthropy focussed on encouraging mass
- Disintermediation & Platform
- Acceleration of existing growth of online giving due to
pandemic will put more emphasis on platforms, leading to:
- more focus on responsibilities of those platforms (Neutrality
of platforms/advisers under greater scrutiny
- Further moving away from donors giving to orgs towards P2P
- Use of payment apps (Venmo/CashApp) to give direct to
- More commercial platforms offering giving functionality
- Awareness of Platform dependency Risks
- CSOs will become more aware that platforms are not digital
- Examples of platform dependency risks:
- Terms of Service changes
- Engagement of civil society in tech
- Will the enforced pivot to digital during the pandemic lead to
wider awareness of, and engagement in, technology issues?
- Growing interest in civil society alternatives to commercial
- Continuing pushback on tech ethics framing?
- AI trends
- Further development of giving via conversational AI interfaces
(and growing awareness of opportunities & challenges)?
- More examples of use of AI for process automation, e.g. in
- Immersive Tech
- More supporter led fundraising using short-form video content
- VAR becomes more popular; more examples of it being used for
- Further forays into gaming and E-sports for fundraising?
- Cryptocurrency & blockchain
- Renewal of interest in crypto-philanthropy?
- More examples of practical/ ethical challenges (e.g. anonymous
donations from problematic sources, volatility of
- Cybersecurity & RegTech challenges
- Ransomware/cyber attacks on charities increase (linked to
increase in remote working?)